Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
EIN
1 - 3
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
EXC
4 - 2
RBC
51%
23%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 2
FCD
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
HEL
4 - 1
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
EXC
4 - 0
HFC
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
ZWO
3 - 2
HEL
74%
16%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
HFC
0 - 2
ZWO
24%
23%
52%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
ZWO
2 - 2
VOL
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
GRO
2 - 1
ZWO
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2000 |
ZWO
1 - 1
GAE
73%
17%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |