Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCE
1 - 2
EXC
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 7
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 4
GRO
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 0
VIT
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UTR
5 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
UTR
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UTR
3 - 0
ADO
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
UTR
5 - 1
ASW
83%
13%
4%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
UTR
27%
25%
49%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |