Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
EXC
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
UTR
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
UTR
3 - 1
PSV
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 1
UTR
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
UTR
1 - 4
VVV
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |