Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
RKC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
RBC
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 2
RJC
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
UTR
2 - 2
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
UTR
2 - 2
SCH
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
RBC
0 - 1
UTR
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
UTR
2 - 2
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 3
UTR
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |