Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 3
FEY
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 1
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
AJA
7 - 2
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
UTR
0 - 0
PSV
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 3
UTR
35%
28%
36%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
UTR
5 - 0
WAG
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1981 |
UTR
1 - 2
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
RJC
0 - 0
UTR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |