Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
FEY
18%
21%
62%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
TWE
3 - 1
ADO
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 2
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
RKC
1 - 2
TWE
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 0
TWE
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |