Excelsior vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
FCE
0 - 2
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
4 - 0
BVO
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
1 - 1
EXC
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEL
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
FCO
0 - 2
BVV
53%
23%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
VOL
1 - 2
FCO
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
FCD
1 - 0
FCO
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
FCO
3 - 3
BOS
35%
24%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 2
FCO
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |