Excelsior vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
BVO
7 - 2
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FCD
0 - 1
MVV
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FCD
2 - 6
BOS
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
ALK
4 - 0
FCD
58%
20%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
FCD
1 - 5
EIN
40%
24%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 3
FCD
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | +2 |