Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
FEY
5 - 1
EXC
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
EXC
2 - 4
UTR
48%
28%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
21%
68%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
AZA
3 - 0
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
FOR
3 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
BOS
3 - 1
ADO
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
BOS
2 - 1
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
HFC
1 - 3
BOS
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
GRO
0 - 1
BOS
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BOS
0 - 0
RJC
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |