Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
64.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 1
SCH
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HER
4 - 0
EXC
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
FCK
52%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
FCK
2 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
19%
24%
58%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |