Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
67.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
6 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 4
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |