Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
GAE
2 - 1
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
FOR
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
HEL
1 - 4
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
EXC
2 - 3
FEY
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
SPA
5 - 2
EXC
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 2
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
GRO
2 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
87%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
HFC
1 - 3
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |