Excelsior vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 3
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRO
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
DWS
1 - 2
SPA
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
ADO
2 - 0
DWS
79%
14%
6%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1972 |
DWS
1 - 1
TWE
26%
31%
44%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 0
DWS
89%
8%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
DWS
2 - 3
BOS
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |