Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
54.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 0
VOL
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
UTR
6 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 1
FEY
9%
16%
75%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
TWE
0 - 0
ADO
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
ADO
1 - 2
AJA
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
BOS
2 - 3
ADO
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
VOL
0 - 0
ADO
22%
27%
50%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
ADO
2 - 2
TEL
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |