Excelsior Virton vs RWD Molenbeek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
12º
12º
46
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 2
LOU
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
VIS
1 - 3
EXC
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
KVK
0 - 0
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
EXC
5 - 1
FOL
14%
18%
68%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
RWD Molenbeek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ASN
3 - 3
RWD
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VIS
1 - 2
RWD
11%
18%
71%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
RWD
1 - 3
RAY
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 1
RWD
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 2
RWD
9%
17%
75%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |