Excelsior Virton vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
12º
12º
19
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DEI
1 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 2
EXC
22%
23%
56%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAA
2 - 2
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
9 - 1
ARQ
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 1
RWD
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 1
STL
23%
27%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 1
JET
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RWD
1 - 0
DEN
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
4 - 0
WET
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 4
LOM
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |