Dutch Third Division Round 5

Excelsior Maassluis vs Katwijk analysis

Excelsior Maassluis Katwijk
51 ELO 52
3.2% Tilt -9%
3397º General ELO ranking 1855º
72º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
38.6%
Excelsior Maassluis
24%
Draw
37.4%
Katwijk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
Excelsior Maassluis
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.4%
Win probability
Katwijk
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Excelsior Maassluis
+3%
-18%
Katwijk

ELO progression

Excelsior Maassluis
Katwijk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior Maassluis
Excelsior Maassluis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2016
ALK
Jong AZ
3 - 2
Excelsior Maassluis
EXC
15%
23%
62%
52 28 24 0
27 Aug. 2016
EXC
Excelsior Maassluis
1 - 1
GVVV
GVV
50%
23%
27%
53 50 3 -1
20 Aug. 2016
UNA
UNA
2 - 1
Excelsior Maassluis
EXC
47%
25%
28%
55 52 3 -2
13 Aug. 2016
EXC
Excelsior Maassluis
2 - 0
VVSB
VVS
49%
24%
27%
55 54 1 0
28 May. 2016
EXC
Excelsior Maassluis
2 - 3
Lienden
LIE
49%
25%
27%
57 56 1 -2

Matches

Katwijk
Katwijk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2016
KAT
Katwijk
3 - 3
HHC Hardenberg
HHC
42%
25%
33%
52 54 2 0
27 Aug. 2016
BAR
BVV Barendrecht
2 - 2
Katwijk
KAT
39%
24%
37%
54 52 2 -2
20 Aug. 2016
ALK
Jong AZ
0 - 0
Katwijk
KAT
7%
14%
80%
55 28 27 -1
13 Aug. 2016
KAT
Katwijk
3 - 1
SV TEC Tiel
TIE
56%
22%
21%
55 52 3 0
09 Jul. 2016
KAT
Katwijk
0 - 5
ADO Den Haag
ADO
15%
19%
65%
56 73 17 -1