AS Excelsior vs Trois Bassins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 3
EXC
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 0
SDF
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EXC
3 - 0
SCC
87%
8%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JEA
0 - 0
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 2
TAM
56%
20%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Trois Bassins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TBF
1 - 1
JEA
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TAM
3 - 3
TBF
50%
24%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TBF
0 - 1
PIE
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 1
TBF
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TBF
1 - 1
LOU
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |