AS Excelsior vs Saint-Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
EXC
48%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 0
CAP
48%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
SAI
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 3
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
ASS
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 2
SAI
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 0
LOU
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 0
ASS
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PIE
2 - 0
LOU
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 0
PET
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |