Excelsior .31 vs WHC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VVO
4 - 1
EXC
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
HHC
5 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 4
FLE
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
PKC
2 - 2
EXC
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
GOA
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
WHC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
WHC
3 - 0
FLE
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
PKC
1 - 2
WHC
35%
25%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
WHC
4 - 2
GOA
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ACV
3 - 1
WHC
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
WHC
4 - 0
STA
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |