EVV vs UDI '19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
13º
5º
47
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 58 |
2º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 47 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
11º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 21 |
15º
|
64% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HVC
3 - 6
EVV
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WIT
0 - 4
EVV
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
EVV
1 - 2
ACH
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HAL
4 - 2
EVV
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EVV
3 - 2
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
UDI '19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UDI
1 - 0
WIT
51%
21%
27%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDI
3 - 1
JUL
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UDI
2 - 1
ORI
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DON
1 - 0
UDI
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UDI
3 - 1
RKV
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |