Everton vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOT
1 - 0
EVE
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
EVE
2 - 1
ASV
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
LIV
4 - 0
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
STE
0 - 4
EVE
10%
21%
69%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
WBA
1 - 1
EVE
29%
26%
45%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
STO
1 - 1
SWA
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SWA
3 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
WHU
2 - 0
SWA
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 0
FUL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 2
SWA
33%
27%
39%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |