Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
14.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
BIR
4 - 0
EVE
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
EVE
1 - 2
WBA
73%
15%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1932 |
EVE
6 - 1
BBU
70%
16%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1932 |
BBU
3 - 1
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
EVE
5 - 1
WOL
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
SUN
3 - 2
ARS
46%
22%
31%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1933 |
SUN
2 - 2
WBA
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
MAC
2 - 4
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1932 |
WBA
5 - 1
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |