Everton vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CUM
0 - 3
EVE
15%
23%
62%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 1
EVE
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
EVE
1 - 2
SWA
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CHL
3 - 3
EVE
62%
21%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
EVE
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 1
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 1
WHU
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 3
MUD
20%
24%
55%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |