Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 1
EVE
69%
20%
11%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 1
EVE
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
EVE
2 - 0
HUL
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
EVE
17%
25%
58%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
EVE
3 - 0
SUN
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARS
12%
22%
66%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 3
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 0
BOL
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 1
PLY
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
OPA
71%
19%
11%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |