Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
EVE
1 - 0
MIL
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
OPA
0 - 1
EVE
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 1
EVE
23%
26%
52%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
EVE
3 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
SUN
0 - 1
EVE
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
ARS
7 - 0
MID
74%
17%
9%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
WIG
1 - 0
ARS
17%
26%
58%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAR
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
16%
24%
60%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |