Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
EVE
4 - 2
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
SCU
0 - 1
EVE
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
DER
3 - 1
EVE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1997 |
BOL
0 - 0
EVE
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
ARS
4 - 0
WHU
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
CHL
2 - 3
ARS
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
PAO
1 - 0
ARS
36%
29%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
ARS
4 - 1
BOL
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
ARS
0 - 0
TOT
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |