Etoile Carouge vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ETO
2 - 1
SIO
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ECH
1 - 1
ETO
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ETO
2 - 3
DUD
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BAU
2 - 0
ETO
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ETO
1 - 1
SEN
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
FRI
0 - 2
BEX
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
NAT
2 - 0
FRI
33%
25%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
FRI
3 - 1
STA
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
UGS
3 - 3
FRI
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
FRI
2 - 2
TPA
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |