Etoile Carouge vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
STA
2 - 0
ETO
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 1
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
NEX
2 - 1
ETO
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
SBC
0 - 3
ETO
5%
12%
83%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 0
ETO
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
37%
24%
38%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
FCK
2 - 0
BAS
35%
24%
42%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCK
43%
24%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
BIE
1 - 6
BAS
14%
18%
67%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
LUG
3 - 1
BAS
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |