Etoile Carouge vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
YOB
0 - 2
ETO
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
ETO
0 - 1
THU
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 4
ETO
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
ETO
3 - 0
SIO
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
SOL
0 - 1
ETO
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BAD
2 - 1
THU
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAD
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
BAD
2 - 1
KRI
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
STA
1 - 2
BAD
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
BAD
3 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |