Tecos vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 3
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
EST
2 - 3
MON
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
IND
2 - 0
MOR
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 2
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PUM
0 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
AME
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |