Estudiantes La Plata vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
GLP
3 - 1
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
EST
3 - 0
ARS
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BOC
1 - 4
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SLO
2 - 2
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
AUR
78%
14%
9%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
EST
28%
23%
48%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 0
UNA
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
AUR
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |