Estudiantes de Mérida vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
ZUL
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
EST
4 - 2
TRU
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 1
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
31%
27%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
TAC
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 4
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
ZUL
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 2
POR
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |