Estudiantes de Mérida vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 4
BVS
52%
22%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
LIB
2 - 1
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 1
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
POR
1 - 2
EST
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
POR
0 - 1
PEÑ
22%
29%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
BVS
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1979 |
BOC
1 - 0
PEÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |