Estudiantes Alcorcon vs Hogar-70 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Alcorcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CDE
1 - 7
ESA
54%
19%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ESA
2 - 3
ROB
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CDM
3 - 3
ESA
58%
19%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ESA
0 - 3
CAÑ
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ESA
0 - 2
HOG
38%
21%
40%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hogar-70
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HOG
0 - 2
CDC
20%
19%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CDC
5 - 1
HOG
65%
18%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
HOG
3 - 3
MBP
29%
20%
51%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ESA
0 - 2
HOG
38%
21%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HOG
3 - 2
CDE
51%
20%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |