Estudantes Africanos vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COV
0 - 2
ARO
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 1
ACV
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ARO
0 - 0
LEX
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
ARO
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |