Estrela Portalegre vs Montargilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Portalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MOS
2 - 1
EPO
27%
22%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
EPO
1 - 1
MON
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 1
EPO
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EPO
4 - 0
SOU
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GAV
1 - 3
EPO
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Montargilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
CRA
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
MON
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
FRO
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MON
2 - 3
MOS
41%
24%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
MON
34%
23%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |