Copa Espírito Santo . Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
DES
40%
28%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
64%
21%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
PIN
8%
15%
77%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
VFC
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
7 - 1
COL
45%
22%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
COL
0 - 3
VIT
50%
22%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
64%
21%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
VFC
0 - 2
VIT
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VIT
8 - 1
ABF
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 6 | 45 | 0 |