Capixaba Fase Final. Quarter-finals
Global 1-6
Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
REA
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
EST
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 2
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
NVE
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 2
DES
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RVV
2 - 3
VIT
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 2
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |