Estrela Amadora vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
VST
2 - 0
EST
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
17%
25%
58%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SCP
3 - 1
EST
73%
19%
9%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
EST
1 - 0
MAR
34%
30%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 0
UDL
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 2
ACA
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 2
PAÇ
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 0
ACA
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |