Estoril vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
EST
1 - 2
BEL
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
SCP
4 - 1
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
EST
0 - 0
RIO
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
FEI
1 - 1
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 2
VST
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
SPB
2 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
VAR
3 - 1
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |