Estoril vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 5
RIO
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 1
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 2
EST
11%
20%
69%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
MIR
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
ARO
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 3
DNM
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 1
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
DNM
2 - 0
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
MOR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |