Estoril vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
UNM
0 - 1
EST
41%
25%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 2
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
PAÇ
31%
28%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
OLH
2 - 1
EST
52%
26%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
BMA
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
NEW
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCP
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 2
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
GFC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
GOR
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |