Estoril vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
VST
2 - 1
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
EST
0 - 3
SLB
20%
27%
54%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
POR
1 - 1
EST
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
SPB
3 - 0
MAR
72%
15%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 0
VST
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIT
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCP
12%
19%
70%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |