Estoril vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
EST
2 - 2
FAT
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
POR
2 - 2
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
GON
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
FEI
2 - 1
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
EST
1 - 2
RIO
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
BMA
0 - 0
GFC
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
GFC
0 - 0
OLH
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 3
GFC
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
GFC
1 - 0
SCF
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 1
GFC
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |