Estoril vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
VSC
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
ACA
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 1
EST
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 1
PAÇ
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEN
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 2
COV
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VAR
0 - 1
BEN
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |