Esteghlal Tehran vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
EST
0 - 3
ZOB
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 2
EST
29%
29%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SAD
2 - 0
EST
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
PER
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NAS
2 - 2
EST
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALO
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 1
RAY
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALW
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
ALH
1 - 2
ALN
31%
23%
47%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |