Sergipano 2 1st Stage Round 5

Estanciano vs Boca Júnior FC analysis

Estanciano Boca Júnior FC
25 ELO 27
-10.2% Tilt -6.5%
28444º General ELO ranking 11125º
832º Country ELO ranking 450º
ELO win probability
42%
Estanciano
24.7%
Draw
33.2%
Boca Júnior FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
Estanciano
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.2%
Win probability
Boca Júnior FC
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estanciano
-6%
-19%
Boca Júnior FC

ELO progression

Estanciano
Boca Júnior FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estanciano
Estanciano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2024
AFP
Frei Paulistano
0 - 1
Estanciano
EST
43%
26%
31%
25 28 3 0
04 Sep. 2024
EST
Estanciano
1 - 1
Botafogo ASF
ABS
71%
17%
12%
26 10 16 -1
24 Aug. 2024
SDJ
Sete de Junho
0 - 3
Estanciano
EST
26%
21%
53%
25 18 7 +1
26 Mar. 2023
AME
América SE
0 - 2
Estanciano
EST
59%
21%
20%
24 34 10 +1
19 Mar. 2023
EST
Estanciano
0 - 3
América SE
AME
26%
22%
53%
25 33 8 -1

Matches

Boca Júnior FC
Boca Júnior FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2024
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
4 - 1
Sete de Junho
SDJ
59%
21%
21%
26 17 9 0
01 Sep. 2024
AFP
Frei Paulistano
2 - 1
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
41%
26%
34%
26 28 2 0
25 Aug. 2024
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
0 - 0
Botafogo ASF
ABS
73%
16%
11%
27 7 20 -1
26 Mar. 2022
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
1 - 3
Atlético Gloriense
ATG
32%
22%
46%
27 30 3 0
20 Mar. 2022
AFP
Frei Paulistano
4 - 1
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
43%
24%
33%
28 33 5 -1