Esperanza vs Club Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PLU
2 - 0
ESP
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 3
JUM
23%
25%
53%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 2
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 4
YEC
11%
19%
70%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 3
LOR
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
MSM
3 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
ABA
39%
26%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
FOR
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
PUL
18%
23%
60%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |