CAF Champions . Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
ES Tunis vs JSM Béjaïa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BEJ
0 - 0
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 2
ESP
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
PRI
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
CLU
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAB
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
JSM Béjaïa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 1
BEJ
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BEJ
0 - 0
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BEJ
1 - 1
CAB
68%
21%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 1
BEJ
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BBA
0 - 0
BEJ
24%
29%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |